Smart Money SignalScore: 9.0

83% win-rate election bettor

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

A proven profitable cross-market trader with an 83% win rate is taking a fresh $1.6k Yes position in a Peru election market after a sharp 41-point one-day drop, making this a credible contrarian setup worth watching.

Total

$1,577

Trades

1

Win Rate

81%

Wallet P&L

+$317,562

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 27¢

PeruPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsPeru Election
View all alerts for Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Detected April 14, 2026 at 10:26 PM

83% win-rate election bettor | PolySpotter