Profitable macro event trader

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate sold No here, which translates to a fresh buy on Yes around 11¢ from a bettor with a long profitable track record.
Total
$1,780
Trades
1
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
+$210,592
Analysis
- This bettor has won 72% of 2,509 resolved trades and is up about $210k lifetime.
- They trade across 80 related markets in 74 events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Yes near 11¢, a cheap asymmetric position on a major geopolitical market.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 11¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 12:32 AM