Part of: Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Vladimir Putin will cease to be President of Russia at any point before Dec. 31, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if he resigns, is removed, is detained and effectively removed, or otherwise stops holding the presidency for any period; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $1,800 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including recent alerts on both Yes and No buying.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
36 smart money signals detected, totaling $658,905.
Categories: putin, Geopolitics, Ukraine, Politics, World, Russia, Earn 4%
Notable Trades
82% win-rate serial trader
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is re-entering No on a liquid Putin-out market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $53k lifetime.
- They have traded across 113 events and 233 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- This is a fresh Buy No at 89¢ after prior positions on this market were closed.
$1,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable 88% winner
Surface due to the bettor’s strong resolved track record and positive lifetime P&L, despite the trade itself being modest in a very liquid market.
- This bettor has won 88% of resolved trades and is up about $27.9K lifetime.
- They bought No at 89¢, backing the market’s current favorite side on a highly liquid market.
- The market also saw a 34x volume spike versus its historical average.
$1,869 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable 77% bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable 77% lifetime bettor bought $6,000 of No despite only a weak win-rate signal on a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 77% of 126 resolved bets and is up $10,449 lifetime.
- They put $6,000 on No at 89¢, backing Putin to remain president through 2026.
- Entry at 89¢ offers limited upside, but the wallet’s long track record is the main signal.
$6,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable 88% winner
Surface due to the bettor’s strong resolved track record and positive lifetime P&L, despite the trade itself being modest in a very liquid market.
- This bettor has won 88% of resolved trades and is up about $27.9K lifetime.
- They bought No at 89¢, backing the market’s current favorite side on a highly liquid market.
- The market also saw a 34x volume spike versus its historical average.
$1,780 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable 88% winner
Surface due to the bettor’s strong resolved track record and positive lifetime P&L, despite the trade itself being modest in a very liquid market.
- This bettor has won 88% of resolved trades and is up about $27.9K lifetime.
- They bought No at 89¢, backing the market’s current favorite side on a highly liquid market.
- The market also saw a 34x volume spike versus its historical average.
$2,670 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable 75% winner
Sharp wallet with a 75% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 13¢ despite the market being liquid and long-dated.
- This bettor has won 75% of resolved trades and is up $1,878 lifetime.
- They are buying Yes at 13¢, implying a high-upside bet on Putin leaving office before 2027.
- The wallet has beaten market odds meaningfully across 12 resolved positions.
$1,226 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
82% win-rate serial trader
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is re-entering No on a liquid Putin-out market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $53k lifetime.
- They have traded across 113 events and 233 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- This is a fresh Buy No at 89¢ after prior positions on this market were closed.
$1,780 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Perfect-record whale buying NO
A perfect-record profitable wallet made a $270k BUY on No during a 76x volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite modest composite score.
- This bettor has won 10 of 10 resolved bets and is up $437,940 lifetime.
- They placed a large $270,721 bet on No at 89¢, showing strong conviction in Putin remaining president through 2026.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 76x above its historical average.
$270,721 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% winner buying NO
Surfaced due to a proven sharp wallet with 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying No, despite modest trade size in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up about $41.9K lifetime.
- They bought No at 88¢, backing Putin to remain president through 2026.
- The trade is modest, but the wallet’s long track record is the main reason to follow it.
$1,410 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
90% winner backs No
Sharp wallet with a 90% resolved win rate and $449k lifetime profit bought $10.2k of No on a liquid Putin-out market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $450k lifetime.
- They bought $10.2k of No at 87¢, adding a clear sharp-wallet signal despite the market’s high liquidity.
- Entry at 87¢ suggests they see Putin remaining president through 2026 as very likely.
$10,205 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x2889...9226 — Yes, $3,915,835 (67% win rate)
- 0x07a9...32c8 — No, $1,182,575 (41% win rate)
- 0xfaf9...f4c4 — No, $1,035,328 (100% win rate)
- 0x2cff...59db — No, $537,242 (100% win rate)
- 0x2c4c...cb39 — No, $455,554 (62% win rate)
- 0xab19...4876 — Yes, $404,206 (59% win rate)
- 0x05e2...6e12 — No, $334,148 (67% win rate)
- 0xc810...2e98 — Yes, $324,834
- 0xc884...e17e — No, $304,514 (100% win rate)
- 0x8b4b...541b — No, $297,500 (81% win rate)
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