2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
41 signals across 7 markets · $1,301,314 tracked · resolves Jul 20, 2026
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Markets (7)
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?13 signals · $873,324 tracked
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $171,998 tracked
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7 signals · $109,963 tracked
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4 signals · $49,460 tracked
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?6 signals · $41,037 tracked
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4 signals · $38,350 tracked
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4 signals · $17,182 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Linked sharp cluster buys Yes
A 5-wallet linked cluster just sold France No for nearly $170k, which converts to a concentrated BUY Yes bet at 16¢ led by a wallet with a 95% win rate and backed by an extreme volume spike.
$169,890Score: 18.5 - New funded World Cup whale
Surface as a high-conviction new-wallet World Cup futures position, though it lacks resolved track record and the market is very liquid.
$9,740Score: 14.5 - New linked whale buying YES
A brand-new wallet, linked to another funded wallet, deployed nearly $49k into Portugal World Cup Yes shares across multiple buys, though it has no track record and the market moved against its early entries.
$48,598Score: 14.5 - 2-hour wallet deploying $60K
Very new wallet with repeat large-bet activity is deploying meaningful capital into Spain World Cup Yes, alongside linked-wallet and cross-market positioning signals.
$7,848Score: 13.5 - Four-wallet coordinated Yes flow
Four wallets bought England Yes exposure together at 11¢, with additional cross-market World Cup positioning, though the market is highly liquid and wallet track records are not especially strong.
$17,483Score: 12.5 - Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
A proven sharp bettor with an 86% win rate and $306k profit made a sizable fresh World Cup longshot bet, part of a broad cross-market pattern that has hit across 73 events.
$6,929Wallet win rate: 21%Score: 12.0 - 56-0 sharp bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a perfect 56/56 resolved record just placed a $33k position on France not to win in a major World Cup market during a large volume spike.
$33,242Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 11.3 - 3-wallet World Cup cluster
Three wallets put $128k behind France at 17¢ in a coordinated burst, including one highly active profitable bettor and cross-market positioning across four World Cup markets.
$128,226Score: 11.2 - 95% win-rate whale
A proven elite Polymarket wallet with a 95% win rate and $21.7M profit just placed a $442k bet on France NO in a World Cup winner market during a major volume spike.
$442,463Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 11.0 - 18-wallet funded bettor
This is a profitable, highly active cross-market trader from a large 18-wallet funded cluster buying France implicitly at 17¢, though the stake is small relative to this very liquid market.
$1,234Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 11.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbddf61…c684$442,463 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x1a162e…4335$204,800 · 2 markets · 3 alerts
- 0x0221e2…ae79$66,186 · 3 markets · 3 alerts
- 0xee00ba…cea1$41,919 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 62% wins
- 0x9ba8d2…cdb3$33,242 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x676489…49c4$30,200 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x85d2ac…9fc1$24,457 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xee67f4…ef38$12,910 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x71cc60…9144$9,264 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x8e9eed…38e4$8,535 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 86% wins