Event

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

2 signals across 1 market · $3,449 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027

This Polymarket event tracks whether Abbas Araghchi will cease to be Iran’s Minister of Foreign Affairs at any point by December 31, 2026. The event has one Yes/No market, with PolySpotter tracking $2,107 in smart money and a recent serial bettor scaling into No.

Markets (1)

  1. Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?2 signals · $3,449 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial bettor scaling into No

    A serial trader with 3,364 resolved bets is adding $2,107 to an existing No position in an extremely thin market, though the trader's 94% win rate does not clearly exceed the 96% average winning entry price.

    $2,107Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.0
  2. Serial bettor scaling into No

    A serial trader with 3,364 resolved bets is adding $2,107 to an existing No position in an extremely thin market, though the trader's 94% win rate does not clearly exceed the 96% average winning entry price.

    $1,342Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x5cd5c8ac33$3,449 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds on Abbas Araghchi leaving office?

The event covers a single Yes/No prediction market on whether Abbas Araghchi will be out as Iran’s Minister of Foreign Affairs by December 31, 2026. Check the live market prices for the current implied odds.

What is smart money doing in the Araghchi prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,107 in smart money across the event and one smart money signal. The latest alert says a serial bettor is scaling into No.

When does the Abbas Araghchi market resolve?

The market resolves based on whether Araghchi ceases to hold the office at any point through December 31, 2026, with the listed resolution time of January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC.

What causes a Yes resolution?

The market resolves Yes if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Iran’s foreign minister for any period before the specified deadline. An announced resignation or removal before the end date can trigger an immediate Yes resolution, regardless of when it takes effect.