Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
1 signal across 1 market · $3,920 tracked · resolves Apr 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the 7-day moving average of reported ship transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz for April 30, 2026, based on IMF Portwatch data. Traders are pricing whether traffic will land in the 0–10 average daily transits range, a market tied to shipping flows, oil risk, and U.S.-Iran geopolitical tension. PolySpotter has flagged a late Yes buy from an 87% winner, making the smart-money angle especially relevant.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2f633e…6643$3,920 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What is the Polymarket market on Strait of Hormuz ship transit odds?
The event focuses on the average daily number of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz as of April 30, 2026, using IMF Portwatch’s 7-day moving average of arrivals. The listed outcome asks whether the average will be between 0 and 10 transits.
What is the smart money doing on this Strait of Hormuz market?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,920 in smart money across this event, with a recent signal showing an 87% winner buying Yes late. That suggests at least one historically successful trader is positioning for the 0–10 transit range.
Why do traders care about Strait of Hormuz transit numbers?
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical route for oil tankers and global shipping. A sharp drop in transits could reflect geopolitical disruption, security concerns, or regional escalation affecting tanker and cargo movement.
When does this Strait of Hormuz prediction market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the April 30, 2026 IMF Portwatch data release. It resolves once the relevant data is published, with fallback timing described in the market rules if the data is delayed.