Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
4 signals across 3 markets · $6,318 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the average number of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz at the end of June, based on IMF Portwatch’s finalized 7-day moving average for June 30, 2026. Traders are pricing whether transit volumes fall into the listed bracket, with PolySpotter currently tracking $1,443 in smart money activity and a signal from a profitable serial cross-market bettor.
Markets (3)
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?2 signals · $3,311 tracked
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?1 signal · $1,564 tracked
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?1 signal · $1,443 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 6-wallet funded cluster
A known 6-wallet funded cluster is buying Yes on a thin, momentum-driven Strait of Hormuz transit market despite this individual wallet’s weak history.
$1,564Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 7.6 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought No in a thin geopolitical shipping market, with the bet representing a meaningful share of recent volume.
$1,443Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large sample is buying Yes after major upward momentum in a specialized shipping-data market.
$1,396Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0 - 93% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No near 90¢ on a Strait of Hormuz transit bracket market.
$1,914Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe73874…df65$2,839 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x80f1f6…3ccd$1,914 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x0e64bd…336d$1,564 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
FAQs
What is the Strait of Hormuz ship transit prediction market about?
This event is about the reported 7-day moving average of ship transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz on June 30, 2026. The active child market asks whether the average daily transits will be between 0 and 10.
How are the Strait of Hormuz transit odds determined?
Odds move based on Polymarket trading activity as bettors react to shipping data, geopolitical risk, oil-market developments, and Strait of Hormuz news. The market resolves using finalized IMF Portwatch data for June 30, 2026.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,443 in smart money across this event, including a recent signal from a profitable serial cross-market bettor. That activity can help users see whether experienced traders are taking a position on low transit volumes.
When does this Polymarket event resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve using finalized IMF Portwatch data for June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the rules state it resolves to the higher range bracket.
Why do Strait of Hormuz transit markets matter?
The Strait of Hormuz is a key global shipping and energy chokepoint, especially for oil and tanker traffic. Prediction-market odds can offer a real-time view of how traders price the risk of disrupted or reduced ship transits.