Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
2 signals across 2 markets · $5,173 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the average number of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz at the end of July 2026, based on IMF Portwatch’s finalized 7-day moving average for July 31. Traders are currently pricing a bracket outcome, including whether average daily transits fall between 0 and 20, with PolySpotter tracking smart-money activity such as a contrarian repeat trader adding exposure.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- New wallet adding to No
Very new wallet is building a sizable No position on a niche, moderately thin shipping-data market with recent price momentum in the same direction.
$4,109Score: 3.7 - Contrarian repeat trader adding
A high-volume cross-market trader is adding to a contrarian No position after a major price collapse in a thin Strait of Hormuz transit market.
$1,064Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 2.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x7eaa14…fd24$4,109 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x4478d7…02a4$1,064 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Strait of Hormuz ship transits at the end of July?
The event’s odds reflect how Polymarket traders are pricing the reported 7-day average number of Strait of Hormuz transit calls on July 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks both the market price and smart-money flows across the event.
What outcome is being traded in this Polymarket event?
This hub covers the event’s child market on whether the average daily transit count will be between 0 and 20 ships. The result is based on IMF Portwatch’s finalized “Arrivals of Ships” data for the Strait of Hormuz.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,064 in smart-money activity across the event, including a recent signal that a contrarian repeat trader is adding exposure.
When does the Strait of Hormuz ship transit market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve using the finalized IMF Portwatch value for July 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the higher range bracket is used.