Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
51 signals across 2 markets · $297,889 tracked · resolves Oct 5, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on who will receive the second-most valid votes in the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election. Current trading focuses on whether Flávio Bolsonaro will finish in second place, with PolySpotter tracking $1,233 in smart-money activity, including a signal from a sharp political cross-market bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 7-wallet linked cluster
Seven wallets sharing a funder are positioned in this election market, with the Yes price up 16.7% over the past day.
$1,893Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - 7-wallet linked cluster
Seven wallets sharing a funder are positioned in this election market, with the Yes price up 16.7% over the past day.
$1,792Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Seven-wallet cluster backs No
A seven-wallet linked cluster and a highly active cross-market trader support a $1,731 bet on No, though the trader's overall win rate is not clearly exceptional relative to entry prices.
$1,731Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - 7-wallet linked cluster
Seven wallets sharing a funder are positioned in this election market, with the Yes price up 16.7% over the past day.
$1,559Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Profitable serial traders buying together
Four wallets bought $16.3K of Yes, including three highly profitable serial cross-market traders, amid a 57x volume spike.
$47,350Score: 7.0 - Three-wallet coordinated No position
Three wallets placed $10.3K in coordinated No bets alongside a 16.3× volume spike, making the flow notable despite the liquid market and distant resolution.
$10,331Score: 5.9 - New wallet scaling into Yes
A 13-hour-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is adding to a substantial Yes position, though it has no resolved track record and the market has recently drifted down.
$2,975Score: 5.3 - New wallet scaling into Yes
A 13-hour-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is adding to a substantial Yes position, though it has no resolved track record and the market has recently drifted down.
$7,954Score: 5.3 - Sharp political cross-market bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Yes in a relatively quiet election market.
$1,233Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.0 - Sharp serial bettor buys Yes
A highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $5,193 purchase on Yes in a Brazilian election market.
$9,465Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9cd1f5…6abd$49,261 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xa26fcc…91e4$43,382 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x2974bd…9c23$39,025 · 1 market · 11 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x7f9e2d…3a0e$28,184 · 1 market · 7 alerts · 90% wins
- 0xaa9ba0…88d4$19,489 · 2 markets · 4 alerts
- 0x88c491…129a$18,635 · 1 market · 8 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$14,658 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x122cb9…fbed$9,810 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 66% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$6,976 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 66% wins
- 0xeb490d…693e$5,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What is the Brazil 2026 first round 2nd place market about?
It is a Polymarket event on which candidate will finish second by valid votes in the first round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election. The listed outcome currently centers on whether Flávio Bolsonaro takes second place.
What are the odds that Flávio Bolsonaro finishes second?
The live odds move as traders buy and sell the market. PolySpotter tracks the event so you can follow current Polymarket pricing alongside smart-money signals.
Is smart money betting on this Brazil election market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,233 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent signal from a sharp political cross-market bettor.
When does this Brazil presidential election market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on the first-round results of Brazil’s presidential election, currently set for October 4, 2026, using valid vote totals and the market’s stated tie-break rules.