Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
3 signals across 1 market · $15,966 tracked · resolves Jan 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Cilia Flores, wife of Nicolás Maduro, will be released from custody by the listed deadline, including release on parole, bond, house arrest, or similar conditions. PolySpotter is monitoring the market for smart-money activity, with recent activity showing a new wallet entering what had been a dormant market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Repeat new wallet in volume spike
A repeat-flagged new wallet is actively trading over $11.5k on a politically sensitive custody market during a 22x volume spike, though the rapid buy/sell churn makes conviction less clean.
$11,592Score: 6.8 - New wallet in dormant market
A new wallet placed a $2.1k No bet in a completely inactive political custody market, suggesting possible fresh conviction despite no resolved track record.
$2,075Score: 5.5 - Repeat new wallet active
A repeat new-wallet bettor with $23.4k previously flagged is making another meaningful No buy, though prior closed positions on both sides make the signal more about active informed trading than clean directional conviction.
$2,299Score: 5.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2ad6f0…5d7a$13,891 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0x660a80…bebf$2,075 · 1 market · 1 alert
FAQs
What are the odds Cilia Flores is released from custody by December 31, 2026?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance that Cilia Flores leaves state custody by the deadline. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart-money activity so you can see whether notable wallets are taking a position.
What counts as a release for this Cilia Flores market?
The market resolves Yes if Cilia Flores is released from custody by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Release can include parole, bond, house arrest, or another condition where she leaves state custody; transfer to another custodial location does not count.
Is smart money betting on the Cilia Flores release market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,075 in smart-money activity across this event, with one recent signal. The latest alert noted a new wallet entering a previously dormant market, which can be useful context for traders watching for renewed interest.
When does the Cilia Flores release market resolve?
This event is listed to resolve by January 31, 2026 on PolySpotter, while the child market asks whether Cilia Flores is released by December 31, 2026. Traders should review the market rules and official resolution timing before placing a bet.