Event

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

5 signals across 2 markets · $12,071 tracked · resolves Jun 22, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks who will receive the most valid votes in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election. The current child market focuses on whether Iván Cepeda Castro will place first in the Bogotá Capital District, with PolySpotter tracking $1,920 in smart money activity and a signal from a profitable serial cross-market trader.

Markets (2)

  1. Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?3 signals · $9,031 tracked
  2. Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?2 signals · $3,040 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 84% winner buys NO

    Sharp political bettor with an 84% win rate and $323k lifetime profit bought No at 44¢ on a Colombia election market.

    $2,233Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.0
  2. Profitable serial election bettor

    Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is buying Yes on a relatively quiet Colombia election market with recent upward momentum.

    $4,498Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 6.0
  3. Profitable serial election bettor

    Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is buying Yes on a relatively quiet Colombia election market with recent upward momentum.

    $2,300Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 6.0
  4. Profitable serial cross-market trader

    A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved-bet history is buying No on a niche Colombia election market as the price moves their way.

    $1,920Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 3.0
  5. 93% winner buying momentum

    Surfaced because the buyer has a strong 13/14 resolved-bet track record and is buying into a political market that has moved sharply upward in the last day.

    $1,120Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 2.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xecaa8877a9$8,718 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 70% wins
  2. 0x23d81b0288$2,233 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  3. 0xf422ccbaa9$1,120 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds for the Bogotá vote in the 2026 Colombia presidential runoff?

This event shows prediction-market odds on whether Iván Cepeda Castro will place first in Bogotá during the second round of Colombia’s 2026 presidential election. Odds can move as traders react to polling, campaign news, and betting activity.

What is this Colombia election prediction market about?

The market resolves based on which listed candidate receives the most valid votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the runoff. If there is a tie in valid votes, the rules specify a tiebreak by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names.

Is smart money betting on the Bogotá runoff market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,920 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable serial cross-market trader. That kind of activity can help users see whether experienced bettors are taking a position.

When does the Bogotá runoff market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, with a listed resolution time of June 22, 2026 at 03:59 UTC.

Where can I track Iván Cepeda Castro Polymarket odds for Bogotá?

You can follow this event hub to monitor Polymarket odds, market movement, and PolySpotter smart money signals related to Iván Cepeda Castro’s chances of finishing first in Bogotá.