Part of: Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,040.

Categories: President, Global Elections, Bogotá, Colombia, Elections, rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec

Notable Trades

93% winner buying momentum

Surfaced because the buyer has a strong 13/14 resolved-bet track record and is buying into a political market that has moved sharply upward in the last day.

This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved bets and is profitable overall.
They bought Yes at 56¢ after the market rose 15.5 points in the last day.
The bet is modest but aligned with recent momentum in a real political market.

$1,120 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved-bet history is buying No on a niche Colombia election market as the price moves their way.

This bettor has won 69% of 919 resolved trades and is up $876k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 188 markets and 127 events.
The trade backs the recent move: Yes is down 13 points today, and they bought No at 58¢.

$1,920 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 47637365, $67,841
0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 47637365, $16,818 (72% win rate)
0x3825...04e8 — Outcome 47637365, $140
0x37d6...fd31 — Outcome 47637365, $50
0x758b...0a1c — Outcome 47637365, $40
0x3b30...100f — Outcome 47637365, $31
0x9cb3...1367 — Outcome 47637365, $30
0x77a3...b5f0 — Outcome 51986373, $27
0xae1f...04f1 — Outcome 47637365, $19
0x239c...f7c2 — Outcome 47637365, $17

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USA Colombia advance, Brazil out

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Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

ResolvedColombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá$3,040 tracked2 signalsPresidentGlobal ElectionsBogotáColombiaElectionsrewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).