Part of: Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,031.

Categories: President, Global Elections, Bogotá, Colombia, Elections, rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec

Notable Trades

Profitable serial election bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is buying Yes on a relatively quiet Colombia election market with recent upward momentum.

  • This bettor has a deep track record: 919 resolved bets, 69% winners, and about $876K in lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 129 events and $1.4M+ in flagged event trades.
  • The $4.5K buy was nearly a full day’s volume at detection, adding conviction in a market up 19 points this week.

$2,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

84% winner buys NO

Sharp political bettor with an 84% win rate and $323k lifetime profit bought No at 44¢ on a Colombia election market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $323k lifetime.
  • They bought No at 44¢, and the market has already moved to 48¢.
  • Their track record shows strong edge: 75 wins from 89 resolved positions.

$2,233 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial election bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is buying Yes on a relatively quiet Colombia election market with recent upward momentum.

  • This bettor has a deep track record: 919 resolved bets, 69% winners, and about $876K in lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 129 events and $1.4M+ in flagged event trades.
  • The $4.5K buy was nearly a full day’s volume at detection, adding conviction in a market up 19 points this week.

$4,498 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0086...1b8c Outcome 78429986, $99,558 (82% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 73377810, $67,841
  3. 0xecaa...77a9 Outcome 78429986, $25,950 (69% win rate)
  4. 0xbc29...59b4 Outcome 78429986, $2,287
  5. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 78429986, $717 (96% win rate)
  6. 0x2d6c...688f Outcome 78429986, $492
  7. 0x03d9...e693 Outcome 78429986, $450
  8. 0x13bb...c279 Outcome 78429986, $270
  9. 0x9ce2...5f90 Outcome 78429986, $250
  10. 0x174b...b378 Outcome 78429986, $250

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Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

ResolvedColombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá$9,031 tracked3 signalsPresidentGlobal ElectionsBogotáColombiaElectionsrewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Price History — “No
102¢
70¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

10d ago

$2,300 on Yes at 59¢

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

11d ago

$2,233 on No at 44¢

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

12d ago

$4,498 on Yes at 59¢

Related Theses