Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
8 signals across 2 markets · $63,042 tracked · resolves Nov 7, 2028
This event tracks Polymarket odds on who will win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with child markets currently focused on Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff. PolySpotter has tracked $7,594 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including alerts tied to a proven cross-market political bettor and a profitable thesis bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner buys big
A proven sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and $252k profit bought nearly $50k of Yes, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market's high liquidity.
$49,826Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 8.0 - Proven cross-market political bettor
A proven profitable cross-market political trader with a 71% win rate is buying a low-priced nominee longshot as part of a broader 2028 Democratic nomination thesis.
$1,260Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 7.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved win rate is buying a long-shot 2028 Democratic nomination outcome at 6¢.
$2,202Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 7.0 - Profitable thesis bettor
A highly active and profitable cross-market trader with a large resolved sample bought a long-shot political outcome at 6¢, making this a small but potentially informative thesis bet worth surfacing.
$1,519Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 6.0 - Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
$4,815Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 5.5 - Elite sharp buying longshot
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% record and $723k lifetime profit bought Ossoff Yes at 8¢, making the wallet’s track record the key signal despite modest sizing.
$1,044Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.0 - Elite sharp buying longshot
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% record and $723k lifetime profit bought Ossoff Yes at 8¢, making the wallet’s track record the key signal despite modest sizing.
$1,236Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.0 - 83% winner buying No
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, now buying No on Newsom at 76¢ despite an otherwise modest signal.
$1,140Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x76cf02…9452$49,826 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xed2fde…0efd$4,815 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
- 0xe899b5…0899$3,720 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 70% wins
- 0xc7e53a…2d3a$2,280 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0xfd39b5…109d$1,260 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x133a16…149d$1,140 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee?
This event hub aggregates the available prediction markets for the 2028 Democratic nomination, currently including Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff. The odds move as traders buy and sell shares based on polling, endorsements, campaign news, and broader election expectations.
Which 2028 Democratic candidates are being traded in this event?
The child markets currently listed for this event ask whether Gavin Newsom or Jon Ossoff will win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. More candidate markets may be added separately as the race develops.
What is the smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $7,594 of smart money activity across 3 signals in this event. Recent alerts include activity from a proven cross-market political bettor and a profitable thesis bettor, suggesting notable traders are positioning around the nomination race.
When does the 2028 Democratic nominee market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028. It resolves based on whether the named individual wins and accepts the Democratic Party’s 2028 presidential nomination, using a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Does a nominee replacement before Election Day change the result?
No. According to the market rules, any replacement of the Democratic nominee before Election Day will not change the resolution. The key condition is who wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination.