Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,769.
Categories: Eurovision, Music, Culture
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buying Yes
A proven profitable wallet with a strong edge is buying Yes on a moderately thin Eurovision market with a wide spread.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $39K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at average 45¢ prices, suggesting real skill in mid-priced markets like this one.
- Entry at 42¢ implies they see Estonia advancing as underpriced versus the current market.
$1,769 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x7523...4c4c — Yes, $13,008 (47% win rate)
- 0x94c4...43ca — No, $10,000 (90% win rate)
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — Yes, $4,228 (76% win rate)
- 0xe3f2...e1c1 — No, $3,863
- 0x2236...6e0c — No, $2,655
- 0x51fd...4272 — Yes, $753
- 0x85c2...9730 — Yes, $592
- 0x6770...45fb — No, $542
- 0x2f2b...0f9a — No, $527 (94% win rate)
- 0x1e3a...9e14 — No, $504
