Part of: Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,769.

Categories: Eurovision, Music, Culture

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buying Yes

A proven profitable wallet with a strong edge is buying Yes on a moderately thin Eurovision market with a wide spread.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $39K lifetime.
Their past wins came at average 45¢ prices, suggesting real skill in mid-priced markets like this one.
Entry at 42¢ implies they see Estonia advancing as underpriced versus the current market.

$1,769 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

0x7523...4c4c — Outcome 41244786, $16,664 (48% win rate)
0x0336...4bb0 — Outcome 41244786, $6,076 (96% win rate)
0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 41244786, $4,228 (85% win rate)
0xbd48...2ce1 — Outcome 41244786, $750
0x588d...099a — Outcome 41244786, $450 (25% win rate)
0x6e3f...32a4 — Outcome 41244786, $381
0x41f0...3eeb — Outcome 41244786, $350
0x1816...23a7 — Outcome 41244786, $307
0x25e3...9f8c — Outcome 41244786, $225
0xb3a1...775b — Outcome 41244786, $224

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Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: First Semi-Final$1,769 tracked1 signalEurovisionMusicCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.