Event

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

1 signal across 1 market · $3,731 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026

This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market on whether former Cuban leader Raul Castro will be taken into U.S. government custody by June 30, 2026. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome, with PolySpotter monitoring smart money activity including a recent profitable wallet buying YES.

Markets (1)

  1. Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?1 signal · $3,731 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable new wallet buying YES

    A 10-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits bought $3.7k of Yes on a geopolitical custody market, suggesting fresh conviction despite limited track record.

    $3,731Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xaf343c0c4d$3,731 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins

FAQs

What are the odds Raul Castro is in U.S. custody by June 30, 2026?

The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance that Raul Castro is physically detained, arrested, captured, or otherwise placed under U.S. government custodial control before the deadline.

What does the Raul Castro custody market resolve on?

It resolves to Yes if U.S. government personnel or authorized agents take Raul Castro into physical custody by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If that does not happen, it resolves to No.

What is the smart money doing in this market?

PolySpotter has tracked $3,731 in smart money activity for this event, including a recent signal that a profitable new wallet was buying YES.

Is this a Raul Castro Polymarket prediction market?

Yes. This event hub covers the Polymarket market for whether ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro will be in U.S. custody by the specified deadline.