When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on November 5, 2026, at 04:59 UTC.

Where can I check the current odds?

Check the market page for the latest Polymarket odds. The supplied metadata does not include a current price.

Does the market resolve Yes if only two outcomes happen?

No. The listed outcome requires all three conditions to be met.

Part of: Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Q: What needs to happen for this market to resolve Yes?

All three listed outcomes must occur: Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil’s presidential election, Gadi Eizenkot becomes Israel’s prime minister following the election, and Democrats win the US Senate.

This Polymarket market asks whether Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil’s presidential election, Gadi Eizenkot becomes Israel’s prime minister, and Democrats win the US Senate. The outcome is Yes only if all three happen; check the market page for current odds. It is scheduled to resolve by November 5, 2026.

The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,947.

Categories: Brazil, Israel, Senate, Midterms, Politics, Elections, netanyahu, 2026 Midterms, United States

Notable Trades

Linked wallets adding to No positions

Three wallets linked through a shared funder placed about $10,076 in aligned No trades, with two adding to substantial existing No positions.

Three wallets aligned on No with about $10,076 in trades; they share a funder linked to seven wallets.
Two of the buyers already hold about $87,700 in No positions and added more.
The trades entered around 63–64¢, close to the market’s current 62¢ No price.

$10,076 on No

Serial trader adding to large No position

A serial cross-market trader with a positive lifetime P&L added to an existing $51.6K No position, though the new trade itself is modest relative to the market and wallet history.

The trader added $3,006 to an existing No position worth about $51,552.
This wallet has traded across 92 events and is up $56,224 across 1,013 resolved bets.
The market is liquid, so the low-activity signal is weak; the main evidence is the trader’s substantial existing position.

$3,358 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

Serial trader adding to large No position

A serial cross-market trader with a positive lifetime P&L added to an existing $51.6K No position, though the new trade itself is modest relative to the market and wallet history.

The trader added $3,006 to an existing No position worth about $51,552.
This wallet has traded across 92 events and is up $56,224 across 1,013 resolved bets.
The market is liquid, so the low-activity signal is weak; the main evidence is the trader’s substantial existing position.

$1,325 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

Serial trader adding to large No position

A serial cross-market trader with a positive lifetime P&L added to an existing $51.6K No position, though the new trade itself is modest relative to the market and wallet history.

The trader added $3,006 to an existing No position worth about $51,552.
This wallet has traded across 92 events and is up $56,224 across 1,013 resolved bets.
The market is liquid, so the low-activity signal is weak; the main evidence is the trader’s substantial existing position.

$3,006 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader added nearly $9,750 to an existing Yes position in a quiet market, though the signals do not establish a clear win-rate edge.

A trader with 1,244 resolved bets and $431,704 in lifetime profit added nearly $9,750 to Yes.
The bet was about 2.8 times the market’s 24-hour volume, and the wallet already had roughly $48,000 invested in the same outcome.

$1,622 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Seven-wallet funded cluster

Seven wallets linked by a common funder are positioned on Yes, with additional context from a high-volume cross-market trader, though the total stake is modest relative to market liquidity.

Seven wallets sharing a funder are positioned on Yes, with about $1,814 in combined trades.
The trader has 285 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and reported lifetime P&L of +$196,288.
Yes was bought at 38¢ in a market with only $711 in 24-hour volume.

$1,814 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader added nearly $9,750 to an existing Yes position in a quiet market, though the signals do not establish a clear win-rate edge.

A trader with 1,244 resolved bets and $431,704 in lifetime profit added nearly $9,750 to Yes.
The bet was about 2.8 times the market’s 24-hour volume, and the wallet already had roughly $48,000 invested in the same outcome.

$9,745 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%