How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 6?
1 signal across 1 market · $2,086 tracked · resolves Jul 12, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on how many ships will transit the Strait of Hormuz during the week of July 6-12, 2026. The linked market focuses on whether fewer than 150 eligible ships are reported by IMF Portwatch, covering tanker, cargo, container, bulk, and related transit calls. PolySpotter is monitoring $2,086 in tracked smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 17-wallet cluster with a 93% winner profile.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$2,086 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What is the Strait of Hormuz ship transit prediction market?
It is a Polymarket event on the reported number of ship transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from July 6 through July 12, 2026. The active outcome asks whether fewer than 150 qualifying ships will transit during that period.
How are the odds for this event determined?
The odds come from traders buying and selling shares on Polymarket. Prices reflect the market-implied probability of the outcome, but they can move as shipping data, news, and trading activity change.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter is tracking $2,086 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal. The latest alert highlights a 17-wallet cluster with a 93% winner profile, which may be useful context when reviewing the market.
When does the Strait of Hormuz transit market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on finalized IMF Portwatch data for July 6-12, 2026. Data for each date must be finalized before it is counted, and the listed resolution time is July 12, 2026 at 23:59 UTC.
What ships count toward the total?
The market uses IMF Portwatch transit calls for the Strait of Hormuz, including container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch are not considered.