How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?
2 signals across 1 market · $2,071 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the reported number of ship transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz for the week of May 11-17, 2026, using IMF Portwatch data. Traders are focused on whether the weekly total falls in the 20-39 ships range, with PolySpotter tracking $1,000 in smart-money activity and a recent signal from a profitable repeat bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable new repeat bettor
A young repeat bettor with early profits is buying Yes on a relatively thin market with strong recent upward momentum.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 5.0 - 87% winner buying No
A highly profitable bettor with an 87% win rate is buying No despite the alert itself being only a weak low-liquidity signal.
$1,071Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 1.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2f633e…6643$1,071 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0xf72c40…2c87$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Strait of Hormuz ship transits May 11-17?
The odds come from Polymarket trading on whether IMF Portwatch reports 20-39 ship transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz for May 11-17, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the market price alongside smart-money activity.
What is the prediction market about?
The market asks how many eligible ships transit the Strait of Hormuz during the specified week. It counts transit calls reported by IMF Portwatch, including container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
Is smart money betting on this Hormuz market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,000 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent alert tied to a profitable repeat bettor. That signal can help users see whether experienced traders are taking a position.
When does the Strait of Hormuz transit market resolve?
The event resolves after IMF Portwatch publishes data for the final date in the period, May 17, 2026. Resolution depends on the reported total for all days from May 11 through May 17, inclusive.