Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
6 signals across 1 market · $15,558 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least 133 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- New whale chasing breakout
A very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets on this political market during a major breakout, suggesting conviction worth watching despite no proven track record yet.
$4,591Score: 9.0 - Repeat new wallet betting No
A repeat new wallet is making another large political trade into an unusually large volume spike, and the sell of Yes at 81¢ translates to a fresh bullish No position around 19¢.
$4,513Score: 8.4 - Profitable new wallet scaling in
A 6-day-old wallet with repeated large bets, early profits, and perfect early results just added another meaningful position on a major political market.
$1,367Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 6.0 - 84% win-rate political sharp
A high-volume cross-market specialist with an 84% win rate bought No at 73¢ in a meaningful political market, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
$2,066Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.0 - 83% win-rate political sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 83% win rate bought into a fast-moving political market after a sharp repricing, making this worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.
$1,366Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.3 - 88% win-rate political buyer
A highly profitable 88% win-rate trader with broad cross-market success bought into a political market after a sharp drop, suggesting they see value in Yes around the mid-30s.
$1,655Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 1.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6b6caf…bb87$9,104 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xdc03d6…804c$3,432 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$1,655 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xc4fd6e…fe19$1,367 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins