Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

This Polymarket tracks whether TISZA will win a constitutional majority in Hungary’s April 12, 2026 parliamentary election by securing at least 133 seats in the National Assembly. The market resolves to Yes only if TISZA reaches that threshold; otherwise it resolves to No, including if the result is still not definitive by October 31, 2026. PolySpotter also tracks smart money activity on this market, which currently shows $1,367 in tracked smart money across 1 signal.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least 133 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,367.

Categories: Politics, Magyar, Elections, Global Elections, Orban, Hungary Election, Fidesz, Hungary

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet scaling in

A 6-day-old wallet with repeated large bets, early profits, and perfect early results just added another meaningful position on a major political market.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling $31.6k
  • It is up $1.5k so far and has won 3 of 3 resolved markets
  • Buying No at 67¢ suggests conviction that a TISZA supermajority is still overpriced after the recent rally

$1,367 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa527...4228 — Yes, $34,342
  2. 0x4488...e319 — No, $11,100 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x7664...2e50 — No, $5,236
  4. 0x75d1...7a5f — No, $4,016
  5. 0x54b5...4b31 — No, $4,000 (44% win rate)
  6. 0xf42f...a6a7 — No, $4,000
  7. 0xc4fd...fe19 — No, $2,578 (100% win rate)
  8. 0xf2f6...5817 — No, $2,000 (75% win rate)
  9. 0xd909...f7ec — No, $1,599
  10. 0x40cf...d21d — No, $1,487

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

3d$1,367 tracked1 signalPoliticsMagyarElectionsGlobal ElectionsOrbanHungary ElectionFideszHungary
Yes
32¢
No
69¢

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least 133 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Price History — “No”
79¢
72¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

2h ago

$1,367 on No at 67¢

67¢→69¢↑2¢
TISZA Constitutional Majority Odds on Polymarket | PolySpotter