Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner
7 signals across 2 markets · $25,906 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.

Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 12-wallet sharp cluster
A highly profitable political trader with an 85% win rate and a 12-wallet linked cluster added a sizable YES position in a major election market, making this coordinated flow worth following despite the already-high price.
$7,537Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.0 - Repeat new wallet contrarian
A brand-new wallet has already made repeated four-figure bets across this election event, and this trade is a fresh contrarian buy against an 82% favorite.
$1,102Score: 6.5 - Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
A proven high-volume wallet with an 86% win rate is making a sizable bet on a relatively quiet Hungarian election market, which is worth surfacing despite only moderate composite score.
$3,076Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.0 - Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
A proven high-win-rate political trader with activity across 104 events just placed a sizable fresh bet on NO in this Hungary market, making it worth following despite only moderate composite score.
$6,142Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 4.4 - Profitable serial political bettor
A high-volume serial political trader with a strong long-term record bought Tisza Yes at 80¢, making this worth surfacing despite only one signal.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.0 - 88% win-rate political bettor
A bettor with an 88% win rate and positive realized P&L is adding a meaningful Yes position in a political market near current highs, making this worth watching despite the modest size.
$1,946Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 3.0 - 94% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 94% win rate made a meaningful $4.1k buy that was over 60% of recent market volume, suggesting conviction despite only a moderate composite score.
$4,103Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe52c0a…6924$9,218 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x000d25…758e$7,537 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xc2f563…3092$4,103 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x71ca04…3501$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x76f912…f701$1,946 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x05357d…0451$1,102 · 1 market · 1 alert