Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,946.
Notable Trades
88% win-rate political bettor
A bettor with an 88% win rate and positive realized P&L is adding a meaningful Yes position in a political market near current highs, making this worth watching despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $1,034 on roughly $8,958 invested
- They bought Yes at 78¢, a price that says they still see value even after the market moved up
- The bet is notable versus roughly $6.6k of 24-hour volume, suggesting real conviction rather than routine noise
$1,946 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $58,214
- 0x06be...8615 — No, $21,204
- 0xfffa...864b — Yes, $20,306
- 0x29d3...b2ed — Yes, $10,098 (62% win rate)
- 0x7664...2e50 — No, $5,509
- 0xe5c2...2ab0 — Yes, $4,586 (93% win rate)
- 0xe689...b81a — Yes, $4,142
- 0xe6c4...4126 — Yes, $4,000
- 0x584a...6317 — Yes, $3,881
- 0x5be7...1b1d — Yes, $3,654
