Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
2 signals across 1 market · $5,491 tracked · resolves Jul 12, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether Iran publicly and officially commits not to attack ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by the Sunday deadline. PolySpotter has tracked $2,476 in smart money activity, including a recent signal that a 93% winner is adding to the “No” side.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% winner adding to No
A highly profitable 93% winner is adding to an existing No position, with a strong linked-wallet cluster signal behind the account.
$2,476Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 7.9 - 93% winner adding to No
A highly profitable 93% winner is adding to an existing No position, with a strong linked-wallet cluster signal behind the account.
$3,015Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 7.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9c987f…f4f4$5,491 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
The live Polymarket odds reflect whether traders think Iran will make a qualifying public, official commitment before the deadline. Check the event page for the latest probability and price movement.
What is the smart money doing on this Iran Hormuz market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,476 in smart money across this event. The latest alert shows a 93% winner adding to “No,” suggesting that trader is betting against a qualifying commitment by the deadline.
What needs to happen for this event to resolve Yes?
Iran’s government or an authorized representative must publicly and officially announce a clear commitment not to attack ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz before the resolution deadline.
When does this Iran Hormuz prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve based on whether a qualifying announcement occurs by July 12 at 11:59 PM ET, according to the market rules.