Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?
1 signal across 1 market · $1,496 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket betting on whether Israel will officially announce another extension of the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by the specified deadline. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome around public Israeli announcements, with PolySpotter flagging a recent smart-money signal from a serial macro trader.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x69645c…ef53$1,496 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What is the Israel ceasefire extension prediction market about?
The market asks whether Israel will officially announce another extension of its ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah by May 15, 2026. A qualifying public announcement of an extension or new agreement would resolve the market to Yes; otherwise it resolves to No.
What are the current odds for Israel extending the ceasefire?
The live Polymarket price shows the market-implied odds for Yes versus No. On PolySpotter, you can track those odds alongside smart-money activity across the event.
What is the smart money doing on this ceasefire market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,496 in smart-money activity for this event, including a recent alert tied to an 81% serial macro trader signal. That suggests notable attention from a trader focused on geopolitical and macro events.
When does this market resolve?
The market is based on whether a qualifying Israeli announcement happens by 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time on May 15, 2026. The event is listed to resolve by May 17, 2026.
Does a new ceasefire agreement count, or only an extension?
Both an extension of the April 16 ceasefire, including the April 23 extension, and a qualifying new agreement can count if Israel officially announces a halt to direct military engagement with Hezbollah by the deadline.