Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
3 signals across 2 markets · $8,949 tracked · resolves Oct 28, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on how many seats Likud will win in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, with the active market focused on whether Likud lands in the 25–29 seat range. PolySpotter has tracked $1,389 in smart money activity across the event, including a signal from a million-profit cross-market trader.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Million-profit cross-market trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No in a thin market before the price moved sharply in their favor.
$1,389Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 5.5 - Proven serial trader buys No
A highly profitable, 82% win-rate serial trader made a fresh $1,045 bet on No in a thinly traded Israeli election market.
$1,045Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.4 - Serial trader trims large No position
A serial, profitable trader sold $6,515 of an existing No position in a quiet market, a notable reduction in exposure rather than clear evidence of a fresh Yes bet.
$6,515Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6bab66…0fe5$6,515 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x6139c4…6b7a$1,389 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$1,045 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Likud’s seat total in the 2026 Israel election?
The event centers on Likud’s Knesset seat count in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, with the current child market asking whether Likud will win 25–29 seats. Live odds can move as polls, coalition dynamics, and trader positioning change.
What is the smart money doing on this Likud seats market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,389 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent signal from a million-profit cross-market trader. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it highlights positioning from a historically successful prediction-market participant.
When does the Likud seats prediction market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve based on the number of Knesset seats won by Likud in the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026.
How is Likud’s seat count determined if it runs on a joint list?
If Likud contests the election as part of a joint candidate list, the seats won by that joint list are counted for resolution. If Likud merges with another party before the election, the seats won by the resulting party or list may be counted according to the market rules.