Israeli Legislative Election Winner
24 signals across 2 markets · $329,075 tracked · resolves Oct 28, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the 2026 Israeli legislative election, where outcomes are based on which party or coalition wins the most Knesset seats. PolySpotter is tracking smart-money activity, including a recent signal from a serial sharp bettor hedging both sides of the market.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 25-wallet Yes surge with sharp bettors
A large one-sided Yes wave across 25 wallets coincided with a 45-point price jump, and the flow includes a profitable bettor with a strong historical edge.
$150,072Score: 11.0 - 13-wallet coordinated No buying
Thirteen wallets concentrated roughly $52,000 on No as Yes odds fell sharply, with several profitable traders adding corroboration, though some Yes sells may be position exits.
$59,787Score: 10.2 - Seven-wallet funded cluster
Seven wallets sharing a funder are associated with this market, making the coordinated $5,180 cluster notable despite the trader's lack of clear win-rate edge over entry odds.
$1,480Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Seven-wallet shared-funder cluster
A seven-wallet shared-funder cluster has accumulated about $1,805 on Yes, though the individual wallet’s history does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.
$1,554Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Seven-wallet shared-funder cluster
A seven-wallet shared-funder cluster has accumulated about $1,805 on Yes, though the individual wallet’s history does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.
$1,805Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Profitable bettor adds to No
A sizable seven-wallet No cluster includes a highly profitable bettor adding to an existing position, though a larger opposing Yes cluster makes the overall signal contested.
$27,907Score: 8.3 - Three-wallet coordinated Yes buying
Three wallets bought $23,872 of Yes in a concentrated burst, with two adding to existing positions and recurring cross-market traders among them.
$7,076Score: 6.3 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced, lifetime-profitable trader has a $22,225 position across two markets in the same election, though this individual buy is near the market price and their win rate does not clearly beat typical entry odds.
$1,480Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.3 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced, lifetime-profitable trader has a $22,225 position across two markets in the same election, though this individual buy is near the market price and their win rate does not clearly beat typical entry odds.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.3 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced, lifetime-profitable trader has a $22,225 position across two markets in the same election, though this individual buy is near the market price and their win rate does not clearly beat typical entry odds.
$1,480Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x23d81b…0288$27,725 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x614dc8…1546$26,908 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x122cb9…fbed$6,894 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 67% wins
- 0xb4f259…e5fa$5,847 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0xc62d2e…74fc$5,575 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 76% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$4,839 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x85a858…9281$3,085 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xde24e2…4ded$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0xd24b95…ef76$1,360 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
FAQs
What are the 2026 Israeli election odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket lists prediction-market odds on the party or coalition expected to win the most seats in Israel’s 2026 legislative election. The event currently includes a market asking whether Yashar will win the most seats.
What is smart money doing in the Israel election prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,405 in smart-money activity across the event and one signal so far. The latest alert highlights a serial sharp bettor hedging both sides of the market.
When will the Israeli legislative election market resolve?
The election is expected on October 27, 2026. If the result is not definitively known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “Other,” subject to the exchange’s stated rules.
What does the Israeli election market measure?
The market measures which political party or coalition wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset. It is a prediction market covering the possible winner of the election, rather than an individual candidate’s vote share.