James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
4 signals across 1 market · $9,789 tracked · resolves Aug 18, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on what share of the vote James Fishback will receive in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary. Traders are pricing outcomes around his primary vote share, with current smart-money activity including a signal from a profitable serial politics bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial sharp scaling into Yes
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,091 bet in a thin market, with Yes already rising.
$1,091Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - Coordinated No flow before repricing
Three wallets coordinated around No amid a 19.8x volume spike and a sharp repricing, though much of the flow appears to be exiting existing Yes positions.
$6,059Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with 1,169 resolved bets and $1.14M profit is taking a fresh No position in a relatively thin market.
$1,063Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial politics bettor
Profitable serial political bettor is adding to a No position on a thin market, but the move has already run well above their 46¢ entry.
$1,576Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc8b9a3…b836$1,576 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$1,091 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$1,063 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What is the James Fishback Florida primary prediction market about?
This Polymarket event covers James Fishback’s vote share in the 2026 Florida Republican governor primary, including whether he finishes below the listed vote-share threshold.
What are the current odds for James Fishback’s vote share?
The odds move as traders buy and sell shares in the event’s outcome markets. PolySpotter tracks those price changes alongside smart-money signals so you can see how the market is shifting.
Is smart money betting on this event?
Yes. PolySpotter has tracked $1,576 in smart-money activity across this event, including a signal tied to a profitable serial politics bettor.
When will this market resolve?
The Florida primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The market resolves based on the reported valid vote share for James Fishback, with fallback rules if definitive results are not known by November 30, 2026.