LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
5 signals across 2 markets · $36,584 tracked · resolves Jun 2, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for which candidates will advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, or whether someone wins outright in the first round. Current trading is focused on the Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt advancement outcome, with PolySpotter tracking $5,578 in smart-money activity and a recent repeat new-wallet buyer signal.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 88% winner buying No
Surface this: a highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate and positive lifetime P&L put $11.2k on No amid a major volume spike.
$11,170Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 8.9 - Repeat new-wallet buyer
A 7-day-old repeat large bettor is buying $5.6k of Yes near 81¢ on a political market with strong recent momentum, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
$5,578Score: 7.9 - 88% serial politics bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate bought No during a major volume spike on a political market.
$1,450Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.8 - Sharp politics bettor buying Yes
Sharp profitable wallet with an 81% resolved win rate bought Yes into a high-volume spike on a politics market.
$1,821Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader put $16.6k on Yes during a major volume spike in a political market.
$16,565Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xecaa88…77a9$16,565 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xd87065…8a7e$12,621 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0xefc729…3bfd$5,578 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x23d81b…0288$1,821 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the LA mayoral election odds on Polymarket?
This event shows prediction-market odds for who will advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The listed market currently centers on whether Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt will be the two candidates to advance.
What is the smart money doing in this LA mayoral market?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,578 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent signal labeled “Repeat new-wallet buyer.” That suggests a wallet pattern worth watching, though it is not a guarantee of the final outcome.
When does this LA mayoral election market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election results. If no candidate gets a majority, it resolves according to the pair of candidates advancing to the runoff; if someone wins outright, the relevant outright-winner outcome applies.
What outcomes are being traded for the 2026 LA mayoral runoff?
This event covers outcomes tied to who advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The current child market specifically asks whether Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt will advance together.
Is this the same as a traditional election forecast?
No. Polymarket odds reflect prices set by traders in a prediction market, not a polling average or expert forecast. PolySpotter adds context by highlighting notable smart-money signals and wallet activity around the event.