LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
17 signals across 2 markets · $72,316 tracked · resolves Jun 2, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for which candidates will advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, or whether someone wins outright in the first round. Current trading is focused on the Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt advancement outcome, with PolySpotter tracking $5,578 in smart-money activity and a recent repeat new-wallet buyer signal.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial political trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 67% win rate and nearly $280k lifetime profit is buying Yes on a politically plausible, fast-moving LA mayoral market.
$2,147Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 9.1 - 88% winner buying No
Surface this: a highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate and positive lifetime P&L put $11.2k on No amid a major volume spike.
$11,170Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 8.9 - Repeat new-wallet buyer
A 7-day-old repeat large bettor is buying $5.6k of Yes near 81¢ on a political market with strong recent momentum, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
$5,578Score: 7.9 - Sharp bettor buying dip
Sharp wallet with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 66¢ on a politically meaningful market after a sharp price move.
$2,809Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a long track record is taking a fresh No position in a political market that has strong recent No-side momentum.
$4,115Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 6.0 - Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a $3.2k No position as part of $9.6k in related LA mayoral bets.
$3,200Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is positioning against the Bass/Pratt runoff pairing across the LA mayoral event, though the latest trade size is modest versus market volume.
$1,501Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 6.0 - Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is adding a No bet in a political market with strong recent momentum against the Yes outcome.
$1,933Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 6.0 - 88% serial politics bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate bought No during a major volume spike on a political market.
$1,450Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.8 - Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume political trader bought the Yes dip during a fast-moving LA mayoral market with major recent momentum.
$2,294Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x614dc8…1546$19,295 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 67% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$17,572 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 72% wins
- 0xd87065…8a7e$15,572 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 89% wins
- 0x44c1df…ebc1$9,669 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 60% wins
- 0xefc729…3bfd$5,578 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xe3f2ec…e1c1$2,809 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$1,821 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the LA mayoral election odds on Polymarket?
This event shows prediction-market odds for who will advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The listed market currently centers on whether Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt will be the two candidates to advance.
What is the smart money doing in this LA mayoral market?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,578 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent signal labeled “Repeat new-wallet buyer.” That suggests a wallet pattern worth watching, though it is not a guarantee of the final outcome.
When does this LA mayoral election market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election results. If no candidate gets a majority, it resolves according to the pair of candidates advancing to the runoff; if someone wins outright, the relevant outright-winner outcome applies.
What outcomes are being traded for the 2026 LA mayoral runoff?
This event covers outcomes tied to who advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The current child market specifically asks whether Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt will advance together.
Is this the same as a traditional election forecast?
No. Polymarket odds reflect prices set by traders in a prediction market, not a polling average or expert forecast. PolySpotter adds context by highlighting notable smart-money signals and wallet activity around the event.