Part of: LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,475.

Categories: Elections, US Election, Los Angeles Mayoral Election, Los Angeles, Politics, LA Mayor

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market veteran

A highly experienced cross-market trader with large positive lifetime P&L bought $7.4k of No as the market has moved sharply that direction.

This bettor has made over 1,300 resolved trades and is up about $835k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 101 events with $6.75M tracked in similar positioning.
The market has moved strongly toward No, with Yes down 20 points in the last day and 45.5 points over the week.

$7,375 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a long track record is taking a fresh No position in a political market that has strong recent No-side momentum.

This bettor has won 67% of 1,088 resolved trades and is up about $287k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.79M deployed across 63 events.
The market has moved sharply toward No, and this fresh 66¢ entry follows a 42-point weekly drop in Yes odds.

$4,115 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is adding a No bet in a political market with strong recent momentum against the Yes outcome.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,088 resolved trades and $286,894 in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 63 events and nearly $1.8M flagged in related positioning.
The market has moved sharply toward No, with Yes down 17.5 points in the past day and 39 points over the week.

$1,933 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved history is making a contrarian Yes buy after a major price drop.

This bettor has a strong record: 69% wins across 892 resolved bets and +$843k lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 104 events with $1.2M tracked in this pattern.
Buying Yes at 46¢ is a contrarian entry after the market fell about 30 points in a day.

$1,008 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is positioning against the Bass/Pratt runoff pairing across the LA mayoral event, though the latest trade size is modest versus market volume.

This bettor has won 67% of 1,087 resolved bets and is up $271k lifetime.
They have traded across 63 related events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
This trade sells Yes at 63¢, equivalent to buying No around 37¢ as the market has already moved 10 points toward No.

$1,501 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Veteran cross-market winner

Experienced cross-market trader with a large resolved history and positive lifetime P&L bought $6.4k of Yes despite recent price weakness.

This bettor has won 67% of 1,087 resolved trades and is up $271k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 62 events and $1.78M in tracked bets.
The $6.4k buy at 64¢ goes against a 10-point weekly price drop, suggesting a contrarian view.

$6,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader put $16.6k on Yes during a major volume spike in a political market.

This bettor is up about $806k lifetime across 884 resolved trades.
They have traded 152 markets across 103 events, showing a long track record in event-based bets.
A $16.6k Yes buy came during an 859x volume spike, with the market already moving up 6.5% today.

$16,565 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Repeat new-wallet buyer

A 7-day-old repeat large bettor is buying $5.6k of Yes near 81¢ on a political market with strong recent momentum, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.

A 7-day-old wallet has now triggered 4 large-bet alerts, with $18.3k in flagged positions.
This $5.6k Yes buy at ~81¢ is sizable, equal to about one-quarter of visible liquidity.
The market is up 6.5 points in the past day, so the bet aligns with fresh momentum.

$5,578 on Yes

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?$44,475 tracked8 signalsElectionsUS ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos AngelesPoliticsLA Mayor

Yes

0¢

100¢

Yes

0¢

100¢

Notable Trades