Part of: Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
This prediction market asks whether Karen Bass will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The election is scheduled for June 2, 2026, with a runoff on November 3, 2026 if no candidate wins a majority; PolySpotter is tracking $1,560 in smart money and 1 signal so far.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,560.
Categories: mayor, Politics, US Election, Elections, Los Angeles, Mayoral Elections, LA, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100, Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Notable Trades
Profitable political bettor re-enters
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% resolved-bet win rate is re-entering Bass Yes after cross-market positioning in the same election event.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $10.1K lifetime.
- They are positioning across 2 markets in the same election event, suggesting a broader Bass-related thesis.
- The market has moved +12 points this week, and this buy at 60¢ follows that momentum.
$1,560 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $19,580
- 0xde04...fa37 — Yes, $9,717 (49% win rate)
- 0xd4bb...a993 — Yes, $4,794 (79% win rate)
- 0x5a7b...e9eb — No, $2,474 (86% win rate)
- 0xefac...c9a1 — Yes, $2,309 (55% win rate)
- 0x6967...84bf — Yes, $2,100 (93% win rate)
- 0x0af5...2470 — No, $1,639 (73% win rate)
- 0xd2a4...3ee9 — Yes, $1,428
- 0x460a...d738 — Yes, $1,417 (54% win rate)
- 0x7e35...1a6c — Yes, $1,312 (49% win rate)
Related Theses
Bass or Pratt wins mayoral race
Covers 2 related markets
