Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
3 signals across 1 market · $5,052 tracked · resolves Jun 18, 2026
This prediction market tracks whether Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd will win at least 10% of the valid vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s Yes/No odds and smart money activity, including a recent signal showing a 94% winner buying Yes.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 94% winner buying Yes
Sharp political bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes on a plausible information-sensitive by-election market.
$1,959Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 4.0 - 94% winner buying Yes
Sharp political bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes on a plausible information-sensitive by-election market.
$1,150Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 4.0 - New wallet backs momentum
A 2-day-old wallet with early positive results is making a fresh $1.9k No bet that aligns with a sharp move against Yes in this by-election market.
$1,943Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd0bf69…f035$3,109 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xfaf680…cc47$1,943 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Restore Britain gets 10%+ in the Makerfield by-election?
The live Polymarket odds reflect the market’s current view on whether Rebecca Shepherd and Restore Britain will reach at least 10% of valid votes in Makerfield. Check the event page for the latest Yes/No pricing and movement.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,959 in smart money activity on this event, with one recent signal: a 94% winner buying Yes. That suggests at least one historically successful trader is positioning for Restore Britain to clear the 10% threshold.
How does this Makerfield by-election market resolve?
The market resolves Yes if Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd receives 10% or more of the valid popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. It resolves No if she receives less than 10%.
When is the Makerfield by-election market expected to resolve?
The by-election is scheduled for June 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve after official vote results are available.