Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
4 signals across 1 market · $7,380 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba at any point before the June 30, 2026 deadline. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome, while PolySpotter has flagged a smart-money signal: a 90% winner buying NO.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought $3.1k of No, a size equal to over half the market’s 24h volume, on a plausible politics information market.
$3,115Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 4.0 - 90% winner buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a quiet political market, with the trade large relative to recent volume.
$1,566Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 1.0 - 96% winner buying YES
Surfacing despite the weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a very strong resolved record and is effectively buying Yes on a quiet political market.
$1,275Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 1.0 - 76% winner buying NO
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a long profitable record and is buying No in a plausible politics market.
$1,424Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe73874…df65$3,115 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0x2974bd…9c23$1,566 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x43f7f0…35e5$1,424 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x71a482…cd31$1,275 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds that Miguel Díaz-Canel is out by June 30?
The event trades a Yes/No outcome on whether Díaz-Canel leaves the Cuban presidency by the deadline. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds alongside smart-money activity so you can see how traders are pricing the risk.
What is the smart money doing on this Díaz-Canel market?
PolySpotter recently flagged one smart-money signal on this event: a 90% winner buying NO. That suggests at least one historically successful trader is betting Díaz-Canel will remain president through the market window.
When does this prediction market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the June 30, 2026 deadline. It resolves Yes if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba during the covered period, or if an official resignation or removal is announced before the end date.
What source determines whether Díaz-Canel is still President of Cuba?
The stated resolution source is the government of Cuba. Official confirmation of resignation, removal, or continued office is what matters for settlement.