Part of: miguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,566.

Categories: Politics, Cuba, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

90% winner buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a quiet political market, with the trade large relative to recent volume.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $288k lifetime.
  • The $1.6k buy was 57% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
  • Entry at 82¢ implies a steady-status-quo view, despite recent movement against Yes.

$1,566 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6b3f...43dc Yes, $16,957
  2. 0x7678...e5f0 No, $8,359
  3. 0x08e7...aa79 No, $6,966
  4. 0xcca9...4c9f No, $6,666 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x52a8...c5ed Yes, $4,892
  6. 0x71a4...cd31 No, $3,560 (96% win rate)
  7. 0x0e39...7c1d Yes, $3,267
  8. 0xb6e1...ec41 Yes, $2,419
  9. 0xd64e...5516 No, $2,320
  10. 0x5c27...1555 No, $1,975

Related Theses

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

36dmiguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30$1,566 tracked1 signalPoliticsCubaGeopolitics
Yes
14¢
No
86¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Price History — “No
86¢
76¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

3h ago

$1,566 on No at 82¢

82¢86¢4¢

Related Theses