Part of: miguel-daz-canel-out-as-president-of-cuba-by-june-30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,566.
Categories: Politics, Cuba, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
90% winner buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a quiet political market, with the trade large relative to recent volume.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $288k lifetime.
- The $1.6k buy was 57% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 82¢ implies a steady-status-quo view, despite recent movement against Yes.
$1,566 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x6b3f...43dc — Yes, $16,957
- 0x7678...e5f0 — No, $8,359
- 0x08e7...aa79 — No, $6,966
- 0xcca9...4c9f — No, $6,666 (60% win rate)
- 0x52a8...c5ed — Yes, $4,892
- 0x71a4...cd31 — No, $3,560 (96% win rate)
- 0x0e39...7c1d — Yes, $3,267
- 0xb6e1...ec41 — Yes, $2,419
- 0xd64e...5516 — No, $2,320
- 0x5c27...1555 — No, $1,975
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