Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
6 signals across 2 markets · $18,602 tracked · resolves Aug 11, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks who will win the 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate primary, including whether Angie Craig becomes the Democratic nominee or the outcome resolves to another candidate. PolySpotter is tracking $2,601 in smart money across the event, including a recent signal from a serial trader scaling into No on Craig’s nomination.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Seven-wallet coordinated Yes position
Seven linked wallets and an extreme volume spike support surfacing this added Yes position, despite the trader's modest historical edge and existing exposure.
$2,095Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 8.3 - Seven-wallet funded cluster buys Yes
Seven linked wallets are coordinating on Yes, although this wallet is adding to an existing position and has no demonstrated odds-based edge.
$3,725Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 7.0 - Four-wallet Yes accumulation
Four wallets concentrated $6.6K into Yes around 71–74¢ before the market rose 19 percentage points, though several were adding to existing positions and track records are mixed.
$6,617Score: 5.7 - Serial trader scales into No
An experienced serial cross-market trader is adding $2,600 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite no exceptional win-rate edge.
$1,074Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.5 - Serial trader scales into No
An experienced serial cross-market trader is adding $2,600 to an existing No position in a thin market, signaling meaningful conviction despite no exceptional win-rate edge.
$2,601Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.4 - Seven-wallet coordinated Yes position
Seven linked wallets and an extreme volume spike support surfacing this added Yes position, despite the trader's modest historical edge and existing exposure.
$2,490Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x22e424…ef1c$4,585 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 59% wins
- 0x6404bf…f250$3,725 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x6640bd…2202$3,675 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
FAQs
What are the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary odds?
The event tracks prediction-market odds for Angie Craig to become the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Minnesota. Check the live Polymarket market for the latest implied probability and price.
What is the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary prediction market?
It is a Polymarket event covering the 2026 Democratic primary for Minnesota’s U.S. Senate seat. The available child market asks whether Angie Craig will be the Democratic nominee; otherwise, the event can resolve to “Other.”
What is smart money doing in the Minnesota Senate primary market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,601 in smart money and one signal for this event. The latest alert says a serial trader scaled into No on Angie Craig becoming the nominee.
When will the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary market resolve?
The primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The market resolves based on the first Minnesota Democratic Party announcement of the results, although an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also qualify.