Part of: Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,927.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Senate Primary, Democratic Primary, Minnesota Primary, August 11 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Yes accumulation

Four wallets concentrated $6.6K into Yes around 71–74¢ before the market rose 19 percentage points, though several were adding to existing positions and track records are mixed.

  • Four wallets bought $6,617 of Yes at 71–74¢, and the market has since risen to about 90%.
  • Two participating bettors are profitable over more than 1,100 resolved trades, while the group also includes a historically losing wallet.
  • Several wallets already held Yes, so this is stronger evidence of continued conviction than of a brand-new coordinated position.

$6,617 on Yes

Seven-wallet coordinated Yes position

Seven linked wallets and an extreme volume spike support surfacing this added Yes position, despite the trader's modest historical edge and existing exposure.

  • Seven wallets sharing a funder have deployed $3,725 around this market, indicating coordinated conviction.
  • Trading activity was 1,157x the historical average, despite only three trades in the spike.
  • This wallet is adding to an existing Yes position at 73¢, though its 59% win rate is not a strong standalone edge.

$2,490 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Seven-wallet funded cluster buys Yes

Seven linked wallets are coordinating on Yes, although this wallet is adding to an existing position and has no demonstrated odds-based edge.

  • Seven wallets sharing a funder are aligned on Peggy Flanagan winning the Democratic nomination.
  • This wallet added $3,725 at 72¢ to an existing $5,174 Yes position, showing increased conviction.
  • The trader is profitable overall with 241 resolved bets, though its 68% win rate does not exceed its 72¢ average winning entry price.

$3,725 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Seven-wallet coordinated Yes position

Seven linked wallets and an extreme volume spike support surfacing this added Yes position, despite the trader's modest historical edge and existing exposure.

  • Seven wallets sharing a funder have deployed $3,725 around this market, indicating coordinated conviction.
  • Trading activity was 1,157x the historical average, despite only three trades in the spike.
  • This wallet is adding to an existing Yes position at 73¢, though its 59% win rate is not a strong standalone edge.

$2,095 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $34,954
  2. 0x9648...6825 — No, $26,680 (72% win rate)
  3. 0xecaa...77a9 — No, $16,083 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x23d8...0288 — No, $7,604 (81% win rate)
  5. 0x7bc1...8db4 — No, $7,388 (71% win rate)
  6. 0xa710...4173 — No, $2,000 (38% win rate)
  7. 0xe32b...626e — No, $1,502
  8. 0xa5e3...4d7e — No, $1,177 (42% win rate)
  9. 0x3872...bb1d — No, $949
  10. 0x815a...af37 — No, $929

Related Theses

Iran deal arrives mid-June

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Fed will hike rates in September

Covers 2 related markets

Republicans win Iowa Senate race

Covers 2 related markets

Neither Flávio nor Lula wins

Covers 2 related markets

Fujimori or Sánchez wins

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Karen Bass finishes first

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner$14,927 tracked4 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsSenate PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryMinnesota PrimaryAugust 11 PrimariesUS Election
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Notable Trades

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

2026-08-12 01:32 UTC

$6,617 on Yes at 72¢

72¢→100¢↑28¢

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

2026-08-12 11:00 UTC

$2,490 on Yes at 73¢

73¢→100¢↑27¢

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

2026-08-11 03:03 UTC

$3,725 on Yes at 72¢

72¢→100¢↑28¢

Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

2026-08-11 02:57 UTC

$2,095 on Yes at 73¢

73¢→100¢↑27¢

Related Theses