Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
13 signals across 2 markets · $57,205 tracked · resolves Aug 11, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the 2026 Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary, including the market on whether Mike Lindell wins and the broader range of potential primary outcomes. PolySpotter is tracking $4,531 in smart-money activity, including a recent purchase by a profitable serial trader. The event is scheduled to resolve using the first official Minnesota Republican Party results announcement, including any runoff or second round.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Six-wallet political positioning cluster
Six linked wallets are coordinating around Lisa Demuth while the market has already risen 37% in a week, creating a notable though modest-sized political positioning signal.
$1,185Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 8.5 - Six-wallet coordinated Lisa Demuth bet
Six linked wallets have concentrated exposure to Lisa Demuth, while the market has risen 37% over the past week and the wallet is making a fresh buy at 62%.
$2,250Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 8.5 - 91% winner adds with linked wallets
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate is adding to an existing Yes position at 70% alongside two linked wallets as the market has surged 49.5% in a week.
$1,351Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 7.5 - Four-wallet No cluster with sharp bettor
Four wallets concentrated roughly $9,014 into No at 71-74¢, including a highly profitable 83% winner, before the market moved to 100%.
$9,014Score: 6.7 - Four-wallet Yes cluster before major repricing
Four wallets made a concentrated $6,157 Yes entry around 71–74¢ before the market surged 81% over the week, although the group lacks a strong proven track record.
$6,157Score: 5.2 - Proven sharp buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,436 bet on No at 30%.
$2,781Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - Proven sharp buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,436 bet on No at 30%.
$1,436Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - Proven serial trader with split positioning
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate deployed $10,119 across both sides, making the activity worth studying but weakening the directional copy signal.
$10,119Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - Proven sharp buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,436 bet on No at 30%.
$2,679Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - Sharp serial trader buys Demuth
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $5,432 purchase as this candidate's odds rose sharply.
$5,432Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x23d81b…0288$31,388 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 82% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$4,765 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 65% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$4,531 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x4c8cdc…e36f$1,351 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
FAQs
What are the Minnesota Republican governor primary odds?
The latest odds are shown in the live Polymarket markets for the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary. This event currently includes a market on whether Mike Lindell will win.
What is the Minnesota governor Republican primary prediction market?
It is a Polymarket event covering the winner of Minnesota's 2026 Republican primary for governor. The traded outcomes include Mike Lindell winning or another candidate becoming the primary winner.
What is smart money doing in the Minnesota GOP primary market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,531 in smart-money activity across this event and one signal. The latest alert reports that a profitable serial trader bought Yes.
When will the Minnesota Republican governor primary market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by August 11, 2026, based on the first official results announcement from the Minnesota Republican Party. Any potential second round or runoff is included in determining the winner.