This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $1.24 million lifetime. The wallet has traded 56 events and $845,513 across correlated markets, indicating an established directional thesis. A fresh $1,436 No position was opened at 30¢ while Yes trades at 70%, with the market recently moving sharply toward No.

Part of: Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,560.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Republican Primary, Governor Primary, Minnesota Primary, August 11 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Four-wallet No cluster with sharp bettor

Four wallets concentrated roughly $9,014 into No at 71-74¢, including a highly profitable 83% winner, before the market moved to 100%.

Four wallets bought No with about $9,014 of combined conviction at 71-74¢.
One participant wins 83% of 192 resolved trades and is up $1.24 million, while another is up $399,000.
No subsequently rose to 100%, with the market down 80.5 percentage points over the past week.

$9,014 on No

Proven sharp buys No

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,436 bet on No at 30%.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $1.24 million lifetime.
The wallet has traded 56 events and $845,513 across correlated markets, indicating an established directional thesis.
A fresh $1,436 No position was opened at 30¢ while Yes trades at 70%, with the market recently moving sharply toward No.

$2,781 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven sharp buys No

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,436 bet on No at 30%.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $1.24 million lifetime.
The wallet has traded 56 events and $845,513 across correlated markets, indicating an established directional thesis.
A fresh $1,436 No position was opened at 30¢ while Yes trades at 70%, with the market recently moving sharply toward No.

$2,679 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven serial trader with split positioning

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate deployed $10,119 across both sides, making the activity worth studying but weakening the directional copy signal.

This bettor has won 83% of 189 resolved trades and is up $1.24 million.
The wallet has traded 60 events and 83 markets, showing extensive repeat activity rather than a one-off bet.
The $10,119 position is split between Yes and No, so the trader’s directional conviction is unclear; the No side is the cleaner copy.
copy_action?

$10,119 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven sharp buys No

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,436 bet on No at 30%.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $1.24 million lifetime.
The wallet has traded 56 events and $845,513 across correlated markets, indicating an established directional thesis.
A fresh $1,436 No position was opened at 30¢ while Yes trades at 70%, with the market recently moving sharply toward No.

$1,436 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated $4.5K purchase in a relatively quiet political market, making this a credible conviction signal.

This bettor has won 72% of 1,156 resolved trades and is up $1.09 million lifetime.
The $4,531 purchase was nearly 9 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction.
The trader has participated across 418 markets, providing meaningful experience beyond a single lucky bet.

$4,531 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 86988864, $29,302 (73% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 86141088, $20,790
0x9648...6825 — Outcome 86988864, $18,702 (70% win rate)
0xe8a2...54c2 — Outcome 86988864, $4,447 (40% win rate)
0xa2dc...49f9 — Outcome 86988864, $4,000 (87% win rate)
0x22e4...ef1c — Outcome 86988864, $3,000 (59% win rate)
0xbef0...86ef — Outcome 86988864, $2,357 (63% win rate)
0xd24b...ef76 — Outcome 86988864, $2,061 (74% win rate)
0x8200...df37 — Outcome 86988864, $1,535 (74% win rate)
0x5533...51ba — Outcome 86988864, $1,400

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Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

ResolvedMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner$30,560 tracked6 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsRepublican PrimaryGovernor PrimaryMinnesota PrimaryAugust 11 PrimariesUS Election

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Price History — “No”

102¢

58¢

14¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction