Netanyahu out by...?
8 signals across 2 markets · $44,418 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction markets on whether Benjamin Netanyahu will resign, be removed, or otherwise leave office as Prime Minister of Israel by key deadlines. Traders are pricing outcomes for both a June 30 deadline and the end of 2026, with PolySpotter tracking $34,111 in smart money activity across the event, including signals from an 88% win-rate political sharp and a profitable political thesis trader.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 88% win-rate political sharp
A highly profitable wallet with an 88% win rate and nearly $1.0M in profit is buying Yes here as part of a large repeat cross-market political thesis.
$1,762Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 12.0 - Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
A high-volume political trader with a 74% win rate and nearly $3.0M profit is making a fresh $10k No bet in a major Netanyahu market while expressing the same thesis across three related markets.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 10.0 - 99% winner buying NO
Elite wallet with a 99% resolved-bet record and $13.4M lifetime profit bought No in a relatively quiet political market, with price already moving in its favor.
$4,307Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 9.0 - Netanyahu out by June 30?
A proven profitable 77% win-rate trader sold out of the heavy favorite in a major politics market, aligning with a broad cross-market thesis and making this a notable contrarian position worth watching.
$12,144Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.0 - Netanyahu out by June 30?
A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this Netanyahu event, including a fresh $4k buy on Yes at 12¢, suggesting concentrated conviction on a low-probability political outcome.
$3,996Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 6.5 - Profitable political thesis trader
A high-volume political trader with 71% win rate and $812k profit is expressing a multi-market thesis, though this specific entry is slightly worse than current price.
$6,210Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.0 - 85% winner buying quiet market
Sharp wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with an 85% resolved win rate bought $3k of No on a quiet market, taking nearly a full day’s volume.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 1.0 - 91% winner buying YES
Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet with a 91% resolved-bet win rate made a $3k political bet despite only a weak low-activity signal.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x744c07…e37f$12,144 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xf2f6af…5817$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x0c0e27…434e$6,210 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$4,307 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x312ee6…8604$3,996 · 1 market · 1 alert · 0% wins
- 0xcd71fd…d127$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x75f3f6…a0d0$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$1,762 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds that Netanyahu leaves office?
The event hub shows live prediction-market pricing across the related Netanyahu departure markets, including whether he is out by June 30 and whether he is out by the end of 2026. These odds move as traders react to Israeli politics, coalition pressure, legal developments, elections, and geopolitical news.
What does “Netanyahu out” mean for this market?
The market resolves Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu announces he will resign, is removed, or otherwise steps down as Prime Minister of Israel before the specified deadline. An announcement before the deadline is enough, even if the actual departure happens later.
Who is betting on the Netanyahu out markets?
PolySpotter tracks smart money activity across the event, including signals from a political trader with an 88% win rate and a profitable political thesis trader. In total, $34,111 in tracked smart money has been observed across the related markets.
What is the difference between the child markets in this event?
The child markets cover different deadlines for the same core question: whether Netanyahu leaves office. One market focuses on a nearer June 30 cutoff, while the other asks whether he is out by the end of 2026.
When do these Netanyahu prediction markets resolve?
The end-of-2026 market resolves based on whether Netanyahu announces resignation, is removed, or leaves office by December 31, 2026. The June 30 market uses its own earlier deadline, so traders should compare both timelines when interpreting the odds.