Netanyahu out by...?
5 signals across 2 markets · $34,111 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 88% win-rate political sharp
A highly profitable wallet with an 88% win rate and nearly $1.0M in profit is buying Yes here as part of a large repeat cross-market political thesis.
$1,762Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 12.0 - Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
A high-volume political trader with a 74% win rate and nearly $3.0M profit is making a fresh $10k No bet in a major Netanyahu market while expressing the same thesis across three related markets.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 10.0 - Netanyahu out by June 30?
A proven profitable 77% win-rate trader sold out of the heavy favorite in a major politics market, aligning with a broad cross-market thesis and making this a notable contrarian position worth watching.
$12,144Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 8.0 - Netanyahu out by June 30?
A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this Netanyahu event, including a fresh $4k buy on Yes at 12¢, suggesting concentrated conviction on a low-probability political outcome.
$3,996Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 6.5 - Profitable political thesis trader
A high-volume political trader with 71% win rate and $812k profit is expressing a multi-market thesis, though this specific entry is slightly worse than current price.
$6,210Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x744c07…e37f$12,144 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xf2f6af…5817$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x0c0e27…434e$6,210 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x312ee6…8604$3,996 · 1 market · 1 alert · 0% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$1,762 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins