Part of: Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by June 30?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,140.
Categories: World, Geopolitics, Middle East, Israel, Politics, Earn 4%
Notable Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30?
A proven profitable 77% win-rate trader sold out of the heavy favorite in a major politics market, aligning with a broad cross-market thesis and making this a notable contrarian position worth watching.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $25.3k across $590k of volume
- They sold No at 88¢, a contrarian exit against a heavily favored outcome in a major political market
- This wallet has traded 145 related markets across 115 events, showing a repeatable event-driven strategy
$12,144 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Netanyahu out by June 30?
A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this Netanyahu event, including a fresh $4k buy on Yes at 12¢, suggesting concentrated conviction on a low-probability political outcome.
- This wallet is only 10 days old but has already made 5 flagged bets totaling $26k
- They just bought Yes at 12¢, a low price that implies they think Netanyahu leaving is meaningfully more likely than the market does
- The bettor is active across 2 related markets in the same event, pointing to a focused political thesis rather than a one-off trade
$3,996 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%
Top Holders
- 0x9648...6825 — Yes, $109,611 (72% win rate)
- 0x58f5...be7b — Yes, $102,501
- 0xa8b9...6b7c — Yes, $64,747 (30% win rate)
- 0x30aa...2bdd — Yes, $61,204
- 0x49ef...7ed8 — Yes, $51,643
- 0xd391...3be5 — Yes, $17,053
- 0x893a...29dc — Yes, $16,892 (63% win rate)
- 0x43bc...a50a — Yes, $13,839
- 0xb331...e001 — Yes, $13,761
- 0xe361...0ded — Yes, $13,571
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