PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner
4 signals across 1 market · $8,309 tracked · resolves May 19, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the 2026 PA-03 Democratic primary, where traders are pricing whether Chris Rabb becomes the Democratic nominee for Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district. PolySpotter has flagged smart money activity in this relatively thin primary market, including a profitable bettor signal across the event.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite cross-market sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate bought No on Chris Rabb becoming the PA-03 Democratic nominee.
$2,093Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 6.0 - 80% winner buying Yes
Sharp profitable wallet with an 80% record across 976 resolved bets bought Yes on a niche political primary market despite only a modest composite score.
$1,830Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 2.0 - 80% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet override: a highly proven bettor with 80% wins and +$49k lifetime P&L bought Yes on a plausible political primary market.
$1,824Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 2.0 - Profitable bettor in thin primary
Profitable high-volume bettor bought Yes in a thin PA-03 primary market with a bet far larger than recent activity and strong recent price momentum.
$2,562Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc68482…2228$3,654 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x98d04f…f14a$2,562 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$2,093 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the PA-03 Democratic primary odds on Polymarket?
The event’s odds reflect trading on whether Chris Rabb will win the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district in the 2026 midterms. Prices can move as new polling, endorsements, filing news, or bettor activity enters the market.
Who is smart money betting on in the PA-03 Democratic primary?
PolySpotter currently tracks $2,562 in smart money activity across this event, with one signal flagged from a profitable bettor in a thin primary market. Because liquidity can be limited, individual informed trades may have an outsized impact on the displayed odds.
What outcome is being traded in this event?
The child market asks whether Chris Rabb will be the Democratic nominee for PA-03. If a different candidate wins the nomination, the Chris Rabb market would resolve “No”; if no nominee is announced by the stated deadline, the event resolves according to the market rules.
When does the PA-03 Democratic primary market resolve?
The Democratic primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The market is expected to resolve based on official Democratic sources naming the nominee, with a fallback to “Other” if no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.