Part of: PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,309.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Pennsylvania Primary, Democratic Primary, House Primary
Notable Trades
Elite cross-market sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate bought No on Chris Rabb becoming the PA-03 Democratic nominee.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $2.17M lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader with activity across 122 events and nearly $4.9M in detected volume.
- Buying No at 36¢ goes against the market favorite, implying they see Rabb’s nomination odds as overstated.
$2,093 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
80% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet override: a highly proven bettor with 80% wins and +$49k lifetime P&L bought Yes on a plausible political primary market.
- This bettor has won 80% of 976 resolved bets and is up $49K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 61¢ after a strong weekly move, with the market up 22 points this week.
- The market is liquid enough to follow, with a tight 1¢ spread and $25K liquidity.
$1,824 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
80% winner buying Yes
Sharp profitable wallet with an 80% record across 976 resolved bets bought Yes on a niche political primary market despite only a modest composite score.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $49,210 lifetime.
- They have a long track record: 785 wins across 976 resolved bets, beating their average entry odds by about 20 points.
- The market has already moved up 21.8 points this week, and this sharp wallet is still buying at 61¢.
$1,830 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable bettor in thin primary
Profitable high-volume bettor bought Yes in a thin PA-03 primary market with a bet far larger than recent activity and strong recent price momentum.
- This bettor has a long track record: 817 resolved trades and $35.7K in lifetime profit.
- The $2.6K Yes buy was far larger than recent activity in this quiet political market.
- Yes has already moved up 23.5 points this week, suggesting momentum behind the same view.
$2,562 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Outcome 78881100, $26,058 (82% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 78881100, $9,814
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 78881100, $6,000 (42% win rate)
- 0x4205...128e — Outcome 78881100, $5,000
- 0x01da...ea89 — Outcome 82783150, $3,017
- 0xb57a...b8c3 — Outcome 82783150, $2,327 (76% win rate)
- 0x74e6...99e8 — Outcome 78881100, $2,300
- 0x2f1a...bfa2 — Outcome 78881100, $1,171
- 0x03f7...c0cc — Outcome 78881100, $901
- 0x5754...e515 — Outcome 78881100, $838 (56% win rate)
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