Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
5 signals across 2 markets · $65,176 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether Perim Island will no longer be under Houthi control by the market’s specified deadline. The event has one Yes/No market, and PolySpotter has flagged a profitable serial trader backing No.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet No buying surge
Four wallets added roughly $30,000 to No in a 282x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated directional signal despite limited track-record evidence.
$29,912Score: 5.7 - Three-wallet No buying surge
Three wallets added $23.7K to No in a 111x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated flow signal despite limited evidence of proven bettor edge.
$23,720Score: 5.5 - Profitable veteran buys No
A highly profitable, experienced wallet made a $1,920 No bet amid a sharp market price move, though its 72% win rate does not clearly beat its average winning odds.
$1,920Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial trader backs No
A highly experienced, profitable trader put about $5,000 into No, a substantial share of this market’s recent volume, though the wallet’s 71% win rate does not by itself establish an edge at these entry prices.
$5,018Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly profitable, experienced trader made a $4.6k No bet in a quiet market, with repeat cross-market activity adding context.
$4,605Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6139c4…6b7a$9,623 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 71% wins
- 0x551e72…b0e0$1,920 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
FAQs
What are the odds on Perim Island leaving Houthi control?
The market trades Yes and No on whether Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by October 31. Check the live market page for current odds.
What is the smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter reports one smart-money signal, with $5,018 tracked across the event. The alert says a profitable serial trader backed No.
When does the Perim Island market resolve?
The child market asks whether Houthi control ends by October 31. The event metadata lists a resolution deadline of January 1, 2027, at 04:59 UTC.
What does the market mean by Houthi control?
The market defines the Houthis as the Houthi movement, including its governing institutions and armed forces acting under its direction or on its behalf. Perim Island refers to Perim, also known as Mayyun Island, in Yemen’s Bab el-Mandeb Strait.