Putin out as President of Russia by...?
36 signals across 1 market · $658,905 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2027
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia at any point before December 31, 2026. Traders are pricing the Yes/No outcome around resignation, removal, detention, or any other qualifying loss of office, with PolySpotter tracking over $102,000 in smart money activity. Recent signals include a serial 73% winner buying NO and a profitable macro event trader entering the market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Coordinated Yes surge
High-scoring coordinated Yes flow: three wallets put $37.6k behind the same direction during a roughly 40x volume spike, with the market already up this week.
$37,635Score: 9.7 - New wallet leads Yes cluster
A very new wallet and two others put $32k into the Yes side of a high-liquidity Putin departure market, creating notable coordinated directional flow despite limited proven wallet edge.
$32,370Score: 7.6 - Profitable wallets buying No
Coordinated No buying across three wallets, supported by a large volume spike and several profitable high-volume bettors, makes this worth surfacing despite the market being liquid and long-dated.
$12,670Score: 7.2 - 97% winner funded cluster
Surfacing because the buyer has a 37-1 resolved record with positive P&L and is tied to a recurring funded-wallet cluster, despite the trade being on a liquid market.
$2,670Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 7.0 - Profitable serial trader buys YES
Profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes amid a major volume spike and rising odds.
$1,197Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 7.0 - Serial 73% winner buys NO
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 73% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L made a $14.4k NO bet during a major volume spike.
$14,387Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.8 - Profitable serial trader buys YES
Profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes amid a major volume spike and rising odds.
$1,654Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.1 - Serial 89% win bettor
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate is buying No on a major political market.
$4,400Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.0 - New whale backing No
A 1-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets and put $58.9k on No in a major politics market, though its track record is still very limited.
$58,852Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.0 - Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
A profitable wallet with a solid 75% win rate and $2.1M P&L just made a $76.8k concentrated buy on No that was over 5.4x the market’s entire 24h volume.
$76,796Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc8849a…e17e$270,721 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x8c80d2…02c3$76,796 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xef9e1c…8c58$58,852 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x3eae57…e2ed$26,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x8b4bca…541b$25,771 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x910874…eaad$19,998 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xd5ccdf…dea4$14,387 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x8b7101…8044$10,205 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x51f20d…cc8b$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x8597ca…daee$9,752 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Putin is out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
The live Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied probability that Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia before the deadline. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity to show whether informed traders are leaning Yes or No.
What is smart money doing in the Putin out by 2026 market?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show notable smart money interest on the NO side, including a serial 73% winner buying NO. The event has also attracted activity from a profitable macro event trader, with more than $102,000 in tracked smart money across the market.
How does this Putin prediction market resolve?
The market resolves Yes if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, ET. A formal announcement of resignation or removal before the end date can also immediately resolve the market to Yes.
What counts as Putin being “out” of office?
The market is based on whether Putin stops being President of Russia, including scenarios such as resignation, removal, detention, or being effectively removed from the position under the market rules. If none of those qualifying events occur by the deadline, it resolves No.
Why follow this event on PolySpotter instead of only Polymarket?
Polymarket shows the live market price, while PolySpotter highlights who is betting, how much smart money is involved, and whether high-performing traders are taking a side. That context can help users interpret whether odds movement is being driven by notable traders or broader market activity.