This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3,280 lifetime. They put $1,425 on No, about 30% of the market’s last 24h volume. Entry at 71¢ suggests they see the resignation-removal risk as overpriced.

Part of: Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,349.

Categories: Romania, World, Politics

Notable Trades

Profitable serial politics trader

A profitable serial cross-market trader exited a No position on a thin Romanian politics market just before Yes moved higher, suggesting a meaningful directional shift despite being partly profit-taking.

This bettor has won 71% of 265 resolved bets and is up $22.9K lifetime.
They trade across many related markets, with 52 events and $248.8K in tracked cross-market activity.
Selling No at 61¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 39¢, ahead of a move toward Yes at 45¢.

$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial politics trader

This bettor has won 71% of 265 resolved bets and is up $22.9K lifetime.
They trade across many related markets, with 52 events and $248.8K in tracked cross-market activity.
Selling No at 61¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 39¢, ahead of a move toward Yes at 45¢.

$1,969 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Proven 77% winner buys NO

Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 77% win rate across 1,000 resolved trades with positive lifetime P&L and bought No at 71¢.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades across 1,000 bets and is up $16.6K lifetime.
They bought $1.1K of No at 71¢, adding a clear directional view on a political market.
Yes has fallen 43% over the past week, and this trade is aligned with that momentum.

$1,371 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Proven 77% winner buys NO

Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 77% win rate across 1,000 resolved trades with positive lifetime P&L and bought No at 71¢.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades across 1,000 bets and is up $16.6K lifetime.
They bought $1.1K of No at 71¢, adding a clear directional view on a political market.
Yes has fallen 43% over the past week, and this trade is aligned with that momentum.

$1,083 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

88% winner buying No

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a political market despite the alert’s low composite score.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3,280 lifetime.
They put $1,425 on No, about 30% of the market’s last 24h volume.
Entry at 71¢ suggests they see the resignation-removal risk as overpriced.

$1,425 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%

Top Holders

0xaa99...dbbf — Outcome 17967172, $47,164 (62% win rate)
0x80e5...7134 — Outcome 17967172, $2,492 (82% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 17967172, $2,441
0x44a1...bd21 — Outcome 17967172, $1,568 (62% win rate)
0xd6b6...342b — Outcome 17967172, $1,444 (42% win rate)
0x1eb0...c79a — Outcome 17967172, $1,086
0xe22c...c989 — Outcome 77475230, $980
0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 17967172, $714
0x41e6...caee — Outcome 17967172, $706
0x076c...4e7b — Outcome 17967172, $600

Related Theses

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No Iran peace deal

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Netherlands win June 20

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Bolojan stays through June

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Morocco scores under three

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Argentina wins June 22 match

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Spain will eliminate Austria

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Argentina Austria stays low-scoring

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Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

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Senegal scores first against France

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Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

ResolvedRomanian PM Bolojan out by...?$8,349 tracked5 signalsRomaniaWorldPolitics

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.