South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner
7 signals across 1 market · $37,882 tracked · resolves Aug 11, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the first-round winner of South Carolina’s special Republican Senate primary on August 11, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the candidate outcome markets, including Darline Graham Nordone, with recent activity showing a sharp bettor scaling into a funded No cluster.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor scaling into funded No cluster
A proven 91% win-rate bettor is adding a large No position through a three-wallet funded cluster in a relatively thin market.
$7,419Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.5 - Seven-wallet Yes surge
Seven wallets committed $15,026 to Yes alongside a 29-point price jump, including several profitable bettors, though the market has already repriced to 100%.
$15,026Score: 7.4 - Six-wallet cluster adding to No
Six linked wallets and an existing position holder are reinforcing a No position, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite the trader's modest standalone track record.
$1,609Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 5.2 - Serial sharp bettor buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $4,748 bet against Nordone in a market already falling 10% over one day.
$2,599Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - Serial sharp bettor buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $4,748 bet against Nordone in a market already falling 10% over one day.
$1,512Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - Serial sharp bettor buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $4,748 bet against Nordone in a market already falling 10% over one day.
$4,971Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - Serial sharp bettor buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $4,748 bet against Nordone in a market already falling 10% over one day.
$4,748Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x23d81b…0288$13,828 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x4c8cdc…e36f$7,419 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$1,609 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
FAQs
What are the South Carolina Senate special primary odds?
The latest odds are shown in the live Polymarket markets for the first-round winner and candidate-specific outcomes. Odds can change as traders update their positions.
What is the South Carolina Senate Republican primary prediction market?
This event covers who will receive the most valid votes in the first round of South Carolina’s special Republican Senate primary, scheduled for August 11, 2026.
What is smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $7,419 in smart-money activity and one signal. The latest alert reports a sharp bettor scaling into a funded No cluster on the market asking whether Darline Graham Nordone will win the first round.
When does the South Carolina Senate primary market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by August 11, 2026, at 23:59 UTC, based on the first-round election result. A potential runoff is scheduled for August 25, 2026, but this event concerns the first round.