Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
2 signals across 1 market · $2,367 tracked · resolves Sep 13, 2026
This Sweden 2026 parliamentary election prediction market tracks which political party wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Riksdag. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,328 in smart-money activity across the event, including one large bet in an otherwise quiet market on whether the Left Party (V) finishes fourth.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Large bet in a quiet market
A $1.3K No bet is unusually large for this thin Swedish election market, though the serial trader's 56% win rate provides only moderate supporting evidence.
$1,328Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.6 - Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A proven bettor with a 78% win rate and 45% edge over implied odds is adding to an existing Yes position at 37 cents.
$1,040Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 3.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb1ca90…1705$1,328 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0xdd1536…4a07$1,040 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
FAQs
What are the Sweden 2026 election fourth-place odds?
The event tracks Polymarket odds for which party will win the fourth-most seats in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election. The currently listed child market asks whether the Left Party (V) will finish fourth.
What is the smart money betting on in this Sweden election market?
PolySpotter tracks $1,328 in smart-money activity across the event and one signal. The latest alert describes a large bet in a quiet market related to the fourth-place outcome.
Which outcome is currently traded in this event?
The listed market covers whether the Left Party (V) wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament. Other party outcomes may depend on the markets available on Polymarket.
When will the Sweden fourth-place election market resolve?
Sweden's parliamentary election is scheduled for September 13, 2026. If voting has not occurred by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" under its rules.