Event

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

4 signals across 2 markets · $13,841 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027

This Polymarket event tracks whether Denmark and the United States sign any agreement relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026. The market trades Yes and No outcomes across potential deals involving sovereignty, governance, security, or resource access, while PolySpotter’s latest alert highlights a coordinated cluster backing the deal outcome.

Markets (2)

  1. Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?3 signals · $7,698 tracked
  2. Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?1 signal · $6,144 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Coordinated cluster backs Greenland deal

    Four wallets, including highly profitable serial traders, coordinated over $6,100 in Yes purchases while the market surged 62% in one day.

    $6,144Score: 9.8
  2. 80% win-rate serial trader buys Yes

    A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge bought Yes in a moderately liquid Greenland deal market.

    $3,263Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 5.6
  3. 80% win-rate serial trader buys Yes

    A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge bought Yes in a moderately liquid Greenland deal market.

    $2,736Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 5.6
  4. Serial sharp betting against Yes

    A highly experienced bettor with a 79% win rate and serial cross-market activity is taking a fresh $1,698 position against Yes in a thin market.

    $1,698Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x524db8…4495$5,999 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
  2. 0x277989…239a$1,698 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds of a Trump-Greenland deal on Polymarket?

Polymarket displays the live Yes and No prices for this event, which represent the market’s implied probabilities of a qualifying U.S.–Danish agreement being signed by December 31, 2026.

What does the Greenland deal prediction market cover?

The market resolves Yes if Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement relating to Greenland by the deadline. Qualifying agreements may involve sovereignty, governance, security, natural resources, or other subjects.

What is smart money doing on the Trump-Greenland market?

PolySpotter is tracking $6,144 in smart-money activity across the event and one signal. Its recent alert, “Coordinated cluster backs Greenland deal,” indicates notable activity favoring the deal outcome.

When does the Trump-Greenland Polymarket event resolve?

The event resolves after the December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline, with the listed resolution time of January 1, 2027, at 04:59 UTC.