Part of: Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources. Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland. This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered. Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,698.

Categories: Politics, World, NATO, Greenland, Denmark, Trump, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

80% win-rate serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge bought Yes in a moderately liquid Greenland deal market.

  • This bettor has won 80 of 100 resolved trades and earned about $164,700 in profit.
  • The $3,263 fresh Yes position was bought at 62¢, below the current 64¢ market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 49 events and 64 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.

$2,736 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

80% win-rate serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge bought Yes in a moderately liquid Greenland deal market.

  • This bettor has won 80 of 100 resolved trades and earned about $164,700 in profit.
  • The $3,263 fresh Yes position was bought at 62¢, below the current 64¢ market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 49 events and 64 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.

$3,263 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Serial sharp betting against Yes

A highly experienced bettor with a 79% win rate and serial cross-market activity is taking a fresh $1,698 position against Yes in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 1,193 resolved trades and is up $49,741 lifetime.
  • They are taking a fresh $1,698 bearish position, selling Yes at 60¢ in a market with only $19,638 total volume.
  • The trade implies buying No around 40¢, despite No currently sitting near 42%, leaving room for a favorable entry.

$1,698 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

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Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?$7,698 tracked3 signalsPoliticsWorldNATOGreenlandDenmarkTrumpGeopolitics
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources. Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland. This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered. Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?

2026-09-19 13:16 UTC

$2,736 on Yes at 62¢

62¢→100¢↑38¢

Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?

2026-09-19 05:57 UTC

$3,263 on Yes at 62¢

62¢→100¢↑38¢

Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?

2026-09-19 02:10 UTC

$1,698 on No at 40¢

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