U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
3 signals across 1 market · $21,128 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether U.S. government personnel will directly participate in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike against a cartel on foreign soil by July 31, 2026. The event has Yes and No outcomes, with PolySpotter reporting a coordinated No bet involving six wallets and $1,359 in tracked smart money.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked cluster catches sharp No repricing
Four linked wallets deployed $18,070 on No near 50–57¢, including bettors with exceptional win rates, while the market rapidly repriced to 99% No.
$18,070Score: 10.2 - Sharp bettor exits rallied Yes
A highly profitable bettor from a five-wallet funded cluster sold Yes after a sharp rally, though the prior position suggests this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh No bet.
$1,700Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 6.6 - Six-wallet coordinated No bet
Six linked wallets are aligned on a meaningful No position in a market showing sharp recent Yes momentum, making this coordinated contrarian flow worth monitoring despite limited bet size.
$1,359Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x73e35c…3239$1,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$1,359 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
FAQs
What are the U.S. anti-cartel operation odds?
The event shows Yes/No prediction-market odds for whether U.S. personnel will directly take part in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike abroad by July 31, 2026. Check the live market for current prices and implied probabilities.
What is the smart money betting on in this event?
PolySpotter recorded one smart money signal: a coordinated No bet involving six wallets. The event has $1,359 in total tracked smart money.
What would make this market resolve Yes?
It resolves Yes if U.S. government personnel, including military, DEA, CIA, or another agency, directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike against a cartel on foreign soil during the market period.
Do intelligence or advisory activities count?
No. Intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles do not qualify unless U.S. personnel directly participate on the ground or conduct a qualifying kinetic strike.
When does the U.S. anti-cartel operation market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time, based on the specified resolution criteria.